Despite Recovery, Economic Growth Remains Fragile — CBN Gov

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On the back of the recovery seen in the economy in the last one year, the Cen­tral Bank of Nigeria (CBN) said Ni­geria’s economy still remains fragile.

Godwin Emefiele, governor, CBN, disclosed this at the opening of the two-day 12th Bankers’ Committee Retreat which began in Lagos on Tuesday.

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The theme of the retreat is ‘Build­ing Resilience for Economic Growth’.

“The CBN is focused on strength­ening the fundamentals of the Nige­rian economy, by using mostly innovative and sometimes extraordinary measures to diversify the economy, boost do­mestic productivity, and reduce our import dependence. ­

“Though the economy is recovering, growth remains fragile, below potential”, Eme­fiele said.

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In support of the recovery ef­forts, Emefiele said the bank de­ployed more than N3.5 trillion, which is about 4.1 percent of Ni­geria’s GDP, to support critical sectors including agriculture, manufacturing, healthcare, electricity, and construction.

He said, “Other CBN policy measures that we took to help the economy recover include, a reduction of the monetary policy rate from 13.5 percent to 11.5 percent to spur lending, reduction of the interest rate on all CBN intervention loans from 9 percent to 5 percent and extension of the moratorium on principal repayments for CBN intervention facility to March 2022.

“Others are regulatory forbearance for banks to re­structure loans to sectors severely affected by the pan­demic, creation of a N400 bil­lion Targeted Credit Facility for households and small and medium enterprises. Of this, nearly N370 billion has been released to over 800,000 bene­ficiaries and introduction of a N1 trillion facility for local manufacturing and produc­tion in critical sectors. So far, 53 manufacturing, 21 agricul­ture-related, and 13 service projects are being funded from this facility.

“There was also creation of a N200 billion healthcare inter­vention fund for pharmaceuti­cal companies and healthcare practitioners to expand and strengthen the capacity of our healthcare institutions, mobi­lization of key stakeholders in the Nigerian economy, under the Private Sector Coalition Against COVID-19 (CACOVID) team that raised N39.65 billion to tackle the scourge”.

He added that these ini­tiatives helped to spur and support the recovery of the economy and re-align general macroeconomic conditions.

“Owing to these policy actions, Nigeria exited the recession in the 4th quarter of 2020 with a growth rate of 0.11 percent, which improved to 0.51 percent in 2021q1. Sup­ported by accommodative measures, growth continued to strengthen in the second quarter of and third quarter of 2021 with robust growth of 5.01 percent and 4.03 percent, respectively. This rebound was fundamentally driven by non-oil activities.“Furthermore, inflation moderated for seven consecu­tive months, from 18.17 percent in March 2021 to 15.99 percent in October 2021. Our external reserves rose to over $41.5 bil­lion in October 2021, supported by demand management mea­sures, the Eurobond inflow of $4 billion and the IMF’s SDR.

“Though pressures per­sist, the naira remains stable around N411/$1 at the I&E window, especially following the discontinuation of foreign exchange allocation to BDCs. Average daily foreign exchange turnover at the I&E window is now over $200 million, up from $40 million in April 2020. In the balance of payments, the cur­rent account balance (CAB) position improved from a huge deficit of 4.53 percent of GDP in the fourth quarter of 2020 to 0.44 percent in the second quar­ter of 2021”.

Going forward, Emefiele said continued implementa­tion of efforts to boost credit to productive sectors is required to sustain the recovery, quick­en growth, and improve the livelihood of Nigerians.

“With population growth at about 2.7 percent annually, it is important that we continue to deploy measures that will enable our economy to attain faster and balanced growth rates of over 5 percent on an annual basis.

“It is in this regard that the CBN recently undertook the following initiatives to build and strengthen the resilience and self-sufficiency of the Ni­gerian economy. One of them is the 100 for 100 Initiative. Un­der this programme, targeted credit of up to N5 billion will be provided to 100 firms every 100 days. Selected firms will be those investing in Greenfield projects, significantly able to create employment oppor­tunities, and use local raw materials. The initiative will also support firms producing goods for the export market.

“The CBN is focused on building a robust payment system in Nigeria which is cheap, fast, efficient, and safe. With the growing pace of dig­itization globally, we will con­tinue to leverage digital chan­nels in fulfilling this objective. Reflective of the confidence in our payment system, between 2015 and 2020, about $700 mil­lion has been invested in firms run by Nigerian founders.”

Another giant stride is the launch of the eNaira. As the first central bank digital cur­rency in Africa and one of the first in the world, the eNaira will foster greater financial inclusion using digital chan­nels, support cross-border payments for businesses and firms, and provide a reliable channel for remittance inflows into the country. The eNaira will ensure that Nigerians in remote areas can conduct fi­nancial activities using their digital devices at little or no cost.

With a seed capital of N1 trillion (about US$2.5 billion), the CBN, in partnership with the AFC and the NSIA, set up the Infrastructure Corpora­tion of Nigeria (InfraCorp) to raise over N15 trillion and support critical infrastructure investments.

Lagos State governor, Baba­jide Sanwo-Olu, who was the special guest at the retreat, said the state is grateful to the CBN and the Bankers’ Com­mittee for their role during the pandemic.

“We are a major beneficia­ry of the interventions by the CBN and the Bankers’ Com­mittee during the pandemic and the people of Lagos State are grateful. Your help and as­sistance make the impact of COVID bearable.

“One of the things we learnt during the pandemic was that it opened the eyes of the people in seeing areas where effective diversification can take place. The way to go is that efforts should be placed on economic diversification”, Gov. Sanwo-Olu said.

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